Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

The par value of government debt, which is reported by the U.S. Treasury Department, reflects interest rates at the time the debt was issued while the market value is adjusted to reflect market interest rates as of the observed period. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas researchers calculated the market value of U.S. government debt series until October 2010. In March 2013, the source of market interest rates was changed and updating resumed. See the methodology description for more detail. Par and market values are reported for gross federal debt (all debt issued by the Treasury), privately held gross federal debt (that not held in U.S. government accounts or by the Federal Reserve) and marketable Treasury debt (Treasury bills, notes and bonds). Values reported are for the last business day of the month. The market value of marketable Treasury debt is an accounting exercise, while the other two require an assumption about the price of nonmarketable debt.

In the fourth quarter 2010 issue of Southwest Economy, Dallas Fed researchers introduced new measures of real trade-weighted exchange rates for each of the 50 U.S. states. These indexes calculate the inflation-adjusted value of the U.S. dollar against the currencies of countries with which the state trades. The real exchange rates are aggregated across countries for each state using the average export share to the country over the period from 1997 to 2009. The indexes should allow analysts to more precisely identify the exchange rate movements that most affect demand for a state’s exports.

Data cited at: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas   Index=Percent increasing- Percent decreasing The Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (TMOS) is a monthly survey of area manufacturers. Firm executives report on how business conditions have changed for a number of indicators, such as production, new orders, employment, prices and company outlook. Respondents are also asked to report on how they perceive broader economic conditions to have changed (general business activity). For all questions, participants are asked whether the indicator has increased, decreased or remained unchanged. Answers cover changes over the previous month and expectations for activity six months into the future. Participants are given the opportunity to submit comments on current issues that may be affecting their business. About 100 manufacturers regularly participate in TMOS, which began collecting data in mid-2004. Respondents are broadly representative of manufacturing subsectors in the state economy. TMOS questionnaires are electronically transmitted to respondents in the middle of each month, and answers are collected over seven business days. Survey responses are used to calculate an index for each indicator. Each index is calculated by subtracting the percentage of respondents reporting a decrease from the percentage reporting an increase. When the share of firms reporting an increase exceeds the share of firms reporting a decrease, the index will be greater than zero, suggesting the indicator has increased over the prior month. If the share of firms reporting a decrease exceeds the share reporting an increase, the index will be below zero, suggesting the indicator has decreased over the prior month. An index will be zero when the number of firms reporting an increase is equal to the number of firms reporting a decrease. Indexes are seasonally adjusted as needed.

The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE). It is calculated by staff at the Dallas Fed, using data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).